They rifle through Scripture like it’s a prophetic buffet, cherry-picking verses backward to retrofit whatever crisis is trending this week. The golden oldie “Brethren, we have less than five years left!” has been recycled longer than some of these “leaders” have been alive. Five years became ten, twenty, thirty… and now we’re approaching a full century of Herbert W. Armstrong’s prophetic dumpster fire. His predictions didn’t just fail—they failed spectacularly, publicly, and repeatedly, littering church history like embarrassing roadside wreckage.
And the current crop of COG prophecy addicts? They’re carrying the torch with pride:
- Bob Thiel, whose “dreams” apparently carry more weight than actual Scripture.
- Gerald Flurry, still waiting for his magical rock to pulverize the nations while he plays king in his Edmond compound.
- Ron Weinland, who set multiple return-of-Christ dates, missed every one. He just shrugged and bought his wife some more diamonds.
- Dave Pack, the undisputed champion of “Any Day Now… Again!”—a man who’s declared the end so often he makes doomsday preppers look patient.
And dozens more just like them, each with their own “special understanding,” urgent timeline, and loyal followers who apparently skipped Bible class.
Because here’s what Deuteronomy 18:20-22 actually says (you know, that pesky part they always forget):
But the prophet who presumes to speak a word in My name, which I have not commanded him to speak… if the thing does not come about or come true, that is the thing which the Lord has not spoken. The prophet has spoken it presumptuously; you shall not be afraid of him.
One strike and you’re out. No mulligans. No, “we were mostly right on the general idea.” No, “just wait a little longer, brethren.” God doesn’t grade on a curve for false prophets—He calls them liars. Yet these men have built entire organizations, bank accounts, and egos on a mountain of failed dates while daring to call themselves God’s true servants.
Jesus warned about exactly this in Matthew 24:11 — “Many false prophets will arise and mislead many.” And in Matthew 7:15-20, He said you’d know them by their fruits. Spoiler: endless broken prophecies aren’t exactly “good fruit.”But sure, Doug. Tell us again how Satan is deceiving people into discounting prophecy. The far bigger joke is how he’s got an army of self-appointed watchmen (Ezekiel 3 and 33 get thrown around a lot) who are themselves the very false prophets the Bible repeatedly condemns (see also Jeremiah 23:16-32 and Ezekiel 13).
And so the tragic farce rolls on.
Decade after decade, these self-proclaimed prophets have peddled their doomsday dreams like carnival barkers, only to watch their bold predictions collapse in humiliating silence. Families have been torn apart, savings drained, lives put on perpetual hold—all for the sake of a fantasy that never arrives. Yet instead of repentance, we get fresh revisions, new “urgent” updates, and ever-more-desperate pleas for more money, while there’s still time.”The trail of wreckage stretches back nearly a century: from Armstrong’s Germany-will-rule-Europe-and-invade-America fiascoes to the modern circus of Thiel-Flurry-Weinland-Pack and company. Each one a walking, talking violation of Deuteronomy 18, each one still collecting tithes and issuing edicts as if God Himself had not already exposed them.
How much longer will people keep following these spiritual frauds? When will they finally open their Bibles, read the clear warnings, and walk away from the con?
The real Jesus never built His ministry on a never-ending countdown clock. He called people to repentance, faith, and genuine fruit—not to a lifetime of chasing vindication through failed headlines. Maybe, just maybe, it’s time to stop obsessing over the next rewritten prophecy and start following the One these men claim to represent… before another generation wastes its life on lies dressed up as “God’s Work.”
Have a truly profitable Sabbath, brethren. Spend it on actual Scripture instead of the latest prophetic fever dream. Your future self—and your bank account—will thank you.
The Importance of Prophecy: Jesus told His disciples to stay alert and watch for the fulfillment of Bible prophecies that will mark the approaching end of this age (Matthew 24:42–44; Mark 13:32–37; Luke 21:34–36). Jesus also warned, in the parable of the foolish virgins, that many will be caught unprepared by the sudden surge of events that will precede His return (Matthew 25:1–13). God has given His Church “a more sure word of prophecy” (2 Peter 1:19, King James Version) so we can warn the Israelite nations and the world of the prophetic significance of world events. It is an awesome responsibility to be commissioned as a watchman (Ezekiel 3:16–21; 33:1–11). It is also sobering to see that Satan has deceived the world and many in the Church to discount the importance of prophecy. We must never take Bible prophecy and our commission lightly.Have a profitable Sabbath,Douglas S. Winnail
No Winnail,
ReplyDeletePeter and the apostles had the “more sure word of prophecy!” Not you all within Armstrongism. Not a sure word of prophecy, when your leader was dead wrong on 1975 and his next leader was on “the next five to 10 years.”
1 Humility
2 Men in the bible get Visions and Dreams
3 They address worldly leaders
4 They are persecuted
5 They have a third heaven correspondence angel/Lord.
https://youtu.be/nXU5i3_N0VY
https://youtu.be/wd2rdbmdEbM
My goodness, reading the letter by Douglas Winnail to the brethren leaves me breathless. With each letter sent out, there must be a corresponding drop in membership numbers each time. Why are they still sending in tithes for this regurgitated bs, to an organisation that is dying, to an organisation that is demonstratingly theologically deeply flawed (BI bs for example), could go on…..makes one want to hit the bottle lol. That said I do hope that many within will come to know the incredible liberty we have in Christ Jesus and embrace Him, without the luggage that comes from this toxic Armstrong environment. My two cents worth, cheers folks.
ReplyDeleteBut, but, but Doug is indeed watching........the income level.....Herbie"s "1st" tithe (not Biblical), and "3rd" tithe.......no Doug, it's 3rd year.........
ReplyDeleteThere's just one problem. There's a huge difference between how Joe Bathrobe got the news back during the first century, and the way we are constantly bombarded with it from all corners, often accompanied by the unwanted passenger known as the agenda, now in 2026. There are so many existential threats these days that EVERYTHING makes it appear as if the end is imminent! For all the emphasis on prophecy, it has not proven to be more effective than horiscopes (at least they say "for entertainment only"), numerology, tarot card reading, or you local psychic (well, alleged psychic, anyway).
ReplyDeleteIt would not be quite so bad, these self-important little men running around as self-ordained prophets, if they didn't use their false prophecies in a fear mongering way, to manipulate your behavior. Apparently, that is the only way such people of limited intelligence can find to persuade you to become their disciples.
You'd think that when they read the passage in Deuteronomy, they'd' realize that we're not supposed to listen to them. Guess a wolf dressed in wool doesn't process things that deeply!
Now you've done it, NO2HWA- Dr Bob has his panties in a wad and now has produced a manifesto in defense of his prophetic powers on his news feed.
ReplyDeletehttps://www.cogwriter.com/gnews.htm
Bob is so predictable that he takes the bait without even realizing it! What is really amazing is how delicate he is at being called out for his deceptions.
DeleteHe needs to pay the Witchdoctors more money, maybe give them some Gold from Evans boy. This will motivate the dudes to cast more powerful spells to deceive the masses, and make Bobby one of the 2 Witnesses 👹🦇
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