A Revision of the Predictive Prophetic Model
Critics typically give Christians a drubbing over the fact that the Apostles believed that Christ would return within a generation and he did not and the Apostles never backed off. That kind of drubbing was attempted on this blog within the last two years. While there have been a number of defensive responses that Christians make to this challenge, not well received by critics, Peter Enns has given play time on his website to a new, persuasive and cogent view. The source reference is at the end of this article.
The Traditional Model of Predictive Prophecy
Prophecy is not always predictive. It takes on many different forms. In general, it refers to inspired speaking or messaging. The topic here is then the subcategory of predictive prophecy. The model for this begins with a person who claims to be a prophet. Typically, the prophet has credentials. He is not just someone off the street but is a part of an ecclesiastical infrastructure that makes him eligible to be heard by the relevant body of followers whether it be the Children of Israel in the OT or a modern church congregation of apocalyptic Millerites. The formula is simple: The prophet proclaims an event to take place in the future and everyone waits for it to happen with various outcomes for the individual and the group. But this is a simplistic to a fault when compared to the more complex Biblical model.
The Biblical model of predictive prophecy does not represent a highly systematized process. It originates in the active engagement of God with people and as such may take on many different dynamic features. Initially, the model may seem to be characterized by ad hoc responses. But it is not genuinely ad hoc because “Known unto God are all his works from the beginning of the Age.” This ad hoc quality, of course, is problematic to legalists and atheists who require a code or body of regulation that rigidly governs the process. Although the model is not highly systematized, a theme that runs through many of the Biblical cases found in this category is that of conditionality. The logical construct is:
If you do A, then B will happen. (Conditional; B is a predicted event)
If not A, then not B. (Denying the Antecedent; B is a predicted event)
A classical example of conditional prophecy is found in Jeremiah 18:5-10. The model has several attributes. Prophecies explain what can happen not what will happen. If you do A, then B will happen. Usually, in the OT context, A is a bad behavior and B is a bad outcome. For instance, “If you worship idols, the Babylonians will conquer you.” But the propositions could be otherwise. Prophecy does not have as its principal goal the prediction of the future. Rather, it leverages the future to effect change in the current behavior of the hearers. And if the hearers repent, like the Assyrians did at the words of Jonah, then we have Denying the Antecedent shown above. While prophecy can be a future agenda delivered with no qualifications it typically is conditional.
Why Christ has not Returned
The Bible states explicitly why Christ did not return as expected. Peter spoke about this to some Jews in Jerusalem:
Repent therefore, and turn to God so that your sins may be wiped out, so that times of refreshing may come from the presence of the Lord, and that he may send the Messiah appointed for you, that is, Jesus, who must remain in heaven until the time of universal restoration (apokatastasis) that God announced long ago through his holy prophets. (Acts 3:19-21, NRSV)
Also:
“Since all these things are thus to be dissolved, what sort of people ought you to be in lives of holiness and godliness, waiting for <and hastening> the coming of the day of God” (2 Pet 3.11-12).
The return of Christ is conditioned by the conduct of the people of God. There are a number of implications that we may draw from this. These words were spoken by Peter early in his ministry. This means that the disciples knew early on that the Parousia was conditional. My guess is that the conditions were such that they also knew that it was likely not to occur as expected. Paul for a while engaged in hopeful thinking but later changed his view. The events listed in Matthew 24 are what God offered if certain conditions were met. The conditions were not met. The apokatastasis has not been inaugurated. (Sidebar: I believe that the events of Matthew 24 can be divided into events that are firmly embedded in determinate chronology and those that do not have a chronological qualification. The fixed events happened in 70 AD. The variable events are yet to occur at an indeterminate date. It takes a spreadsheet to sort this out and I have never done this for fear of contracting Victor Houteff Syndrome.)
In view of Acts 3:19-21, there are some viewpoints that should be abandoned. One is the idea that there are six millennia allocated to human civilization and the seventh millennium will begin the Kingdom of God. No matter who this is attributed to, Elijah or others, it is an abnegation of Acts 3:19-21. No mere tradition of whatever provenance should be permitted to displace scripture. Also, the idea that the Apostles experienced an early version of the Millerite Great Disappointment of 1844 because Christ did not return in their generation is fallacious. Peter and the other Apostles knew what the score was as mentioned above. But hope will burn for a while before it succumbs to experience. Another spurious idea is that imposing conditions implies that God is capricious – he leaves himself an out. This, rather, shows that God has granted a measure of free will to humans and is willing to work with their exercise of that free will. His expressed willingness to respond with changes in circumstances does not cancel the scripture that says “Known unto God are all his works from the beginning of the Age.” Acts 3:19-21 is especially difficult for someone who stands up and says “I am a prophet and Christ is returning next Monday.” The professed prophet would have to go beyond mere pronouncement and demonstrate that the conditions of Act 3:19 -21 had been either fulfilled or lifted. Unless the professed prophet can explain plausibly why the Biblical conditioning has somehow been abrogated, he can only add to the Biblical requirements creating a compound condition where all conditions must be fulfilled for Christ to return.
False Prophets and Conditionality
Some will contend that if prophecy can be qualified there is no way in which a false prophet may be adjudged to be a false prophet. The false prophet can always say that the reason why the prophecy failed is because a condition was not met. And Deuteronomy 18:20-22 is rendered ineffectual because the false prophet has a “back door. “
Pragmatically, Case 1 below is straightforward and Case 2 can permit an escape.
Case One - A Simple, Unqualified Prediction: If the supposed prophet simply makes a prediction without any qualifications, and it doesn’t happen, then it is easy to see that Deuteronomy 18 principle is relevant.
Case Two – A Conditioned Prediction: The supposed prophet says that “If you repent of giving small offerings, Christ will return next Thursday.” Every congregant repents and increases offerings. Christ doesn’t return. The professed prophet says that Christ did not come because some did not repent. The principle of Deuteronomy 18 may still be applied but the case does require a more complex discovery. If discovery reveals nothing than he prophet cannot be charged. This latter circumstance is an escape.
The point of the small case study above is that even though there may be conditions attached to a prophecy sufficient discovery can result in a just determination on the validity of the prophet as a prophet. Deuteronomy 18 should not be applied anyway because it is part of a superseded covenant and the ministration of death. Some administrative rule based on Deuteronomy 18 might be applied instead. In the formation of such an administrative rule, it should be noted that Deuteronomy 18:15-22 was apparently written to the entire congregation of Israel. The congregation had the burden of responsibility to resolve this situation – doing the discovery, making the judgment and enforcing the verdict. They were not to be just passive victims.
Conclusion
Conditional prophecy is a thematic formulation used in both the OT and NT. Conditioning explains why Biblical prophecy does not always conform to historical reality. Conditioning can be manipulated by those claiming to be prophets but a perceptive congregation will be able to assess this and react appropriately to it. It should be added that this is a pragmatic view. On the theoretical side, it is not clear that the role of prophet for purposes of prediction is an agency used by God at this time.
This article is a work of opinion. I am not a theologian. I am a Christian lay-member and a recovering Armstrongist.
-- Non_Ecliptic_Orbit
Why overcomplicate matters? The answer is far simpler. Jesus hasn't returned for exactly the same reason the Flying Spaghetti Monster hasn't returned.
ReplyDeleteIn regard to Matthew 24:
ReplyDelete“Reicke (“Synoptic Prophecies”) has shown the language in the Olivet Discourse prophesying the Fall of Jerusalem to be largely in OT categories. Not only is it general, it does not describe any detail peculiar to the known history of the Jewish Wars (A.D. 66-73). Reicke goes so far as to conclude that the Olivet Discourse as found in any of the Synoptics could not have been composed after A.D.70, and that therefore the Synoptics have earlier dates...” (D.A. Carson, Matthew, EBC, Vol.8, p.489)
Mt 24:15 When ye therefore shall see the abomination of desolation, spoken of by Daniel the prophet, stand in the holy place, (whoso readeth, let him understand:)
“But to what event does Jesus make this text from Daniel refer... The obvious occasion, in general terms, is A.D. 70, though certain difficulties must be faced... by the time the Romans had actually desecrated the temple in A.D. 70, it was too late for anyone in the city to flee...” (D.A. Carson, Matthew, EBC, Vol.8, p.500).
Mk 13:14 But when ye shall see the abomination of desolation, spoken of by Daniel the prophet, standing [hestekota] where it ought not...
Mt 24:15 When ye therefore shall see the abomination of desolation ... stand [hestos] in the holy [hagio] place [topo]...
“Although topos (“place” can refer to the city of Jerusalem (cf. BAGS, p.822), the normal meaning of hagios topos (“holy place”) is the temple complex (cf. BAGD; Isa 60:13; 2 Macc 1:29; 2:18; Acts 6:13; 21:28)” (D.A. Carson, Matthew, EBC, Vol.8, p.500).
“Matthew’s reference to the abomination is in the neuter (which is grammatically correct), but Mark’s participle ‘standing’ is masculine, which suggests that he expected the sacrilege to be committed by a person.
“Matthew replaces Mark’s ‘standing where it does not belong’ with ‘standing in the holy place’, alluding to the temple (John R.W. Stott, The Message of Thessalonians, BST, p.163).
Dan 11:36 ... exalt and magnify himself above [epi] every [panta] God [theon]... (LXX).
2Th 2:4a exalteth himself above [epi] every [panta] so-called [legomenon] God [theon].
2 Th 2:4b so that he as God sitteth in the temple of God, showing [apodeiknymi] himself that he is God.
“The man of lawlessness will occupy the holy precincts in order to accept and even demand worship that is due God alone. This evidently is a Jewish temple to be rebuilt in Jerusalem in the future. Dependence on Daniel 9:26, 27; 11:31, 36, 37; 12:11 (cf. Matt 24:15; Mark 13:14) demands such a reference. There is no impressive evidence for understanding naon (“temple”) in a nonliteral sense. The well-known “abomination that causes desolation” is sometimes regarded as a person and sometimes as an act of desecration by that person (Mark 13:14) (Hubbard, Wycliffe Bible Commentary, p.1364). The act of desecration to which this verse looks will transpire half-way through the seventieth prophetic week of Daniel 9:24-27, when the covenant made earlier with the Jewish people is broken...” (Robert L. Thomas, 1 & 2 Thessalonians, EBC, Vol.11, p.322).
His time has not yet come, cf John 7:30. A time already set by the 70 weeks prophecy? Until the time of restoration of all things, a time already set? "Hasting" could mean "eagerly awaiting" and, sure, by someone who thought the time of Jesus' return would be in his/her lifetime. But the time seems to be already set and not conditional. Just my opinion. It was time the Father knew but not Jesus when He was here on earth. Consider Matthew 24:36: the Father knew/knows the time, indicating it's already predetermined, set.
ReplyDeleteAnonymous 1/29 @ 3:39 PM,
ReplyDeleteYou're probably right. The answer is far simpler. A lack of imagination has very likely prevented the return of both. Sadly, we humans tend not to be able "to see the forest for the trees." We're good at examining and evaluating the components - not so good at seeing the life or the beauty of the whole. The reality that is right before our eyes so often eludes us! NEO is talking poetry and prose - Your talking textbook and technical manual.
People can intellectualize all they want about prophesy, but the holy spirit has informed me that I will live to see the tribulation. And I am an old.
ReplyDeleteThe return of Jesus pre-supposes the historic existence of Jesus on this earth. We shouldn't be pondering the second return of Jesus before it is actually proven that there was a "first coming" of Jesus. If not, speculation about his second coming is pointless. That is like impeaching a president who is no longer president. It is a total waist of time and completely pointless. Sorry for injecting politics into this discussion but I couldn't help myself!
ReplyDeleteThere's a reading that the early faith community were actually awaiting a *first* coming: Earl Doherty posits this in his book and 'Truth-Surge' further unpacks it with a very detailed multi-part series: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fmN9xCqX454
ReplyDeleteNo one can predict the future. It's magical thinking grounded in personality disorders and mental illness with a touch of ego centric delusions. "And the Lord said unto me", "Thus saith the Lord", and "I heard a voice say" are signs of schizophrenia and today if someone said that, as we all expect Dave Pack to sooner or later, we'd not give it a second thought.
ReplyDeleteIf Boba-baloneia will never say "The Word of the Lord came unto me" He knows better. He's safer present it as "What if the Word of the Lord came unto me?", "Did the Word of the Lord come unto me?" or "Could I actually be prophetically correct?" is pulling prophetic punches to save his ass from making a fool out of himself pretty quickly. Bo-baal is an Internet News Junkie between clients weaving world news into his theological musings which he seems haunted by and addicted to.
How much time can a human waste on buying into the delusional "I know the future" of another before they realize the only real time they should be giving their life energy and time to is now?
Anonymous 3:46
ReplyDeleteThe article does not seek to answer the questions "Does God exist?" or "Is the Bible true?"
Asserting that there is no God or that the Bible cannot be believed derails the train of thought and initiates another debate. It is an important debate but does not fall within the scope of this post. The article seeks to address the question: "Is there a deficiency in the Bible account that leaves unaddressed the fact that Christ did not return in one generation?" Denying God and the Bible is the banal and unresolvable argument that non-believers resort to in every context.
I agree with you the impeachment seems a little out of place. He should be arraigned in criminal court and judged by a jury of his peers instead of a bunch of quivering, obsequious pseudo-Republicans.
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If you want to think carefully about the historical Christ and his relationship to Christianity, take a look at:
ReplyDeleteThe Jesus Puzzle: A Review
Summarizing the most pertinent argument, we should start with the realization that of all the NT material, it is Paul's letters, not the Gospels, that are the earliest texts... and that in these texts we don't find a historical Jesus. Paul shows no interest in the human lifetime of his Christ, and instead gives us a Cosmic Christ whose salvation journey more closely resembles that of Ishtar/Cybele (this should be a mind-blower for Armstrongists who think someone other than Paul brought Ishtar into Christianity).
In the Roman Empire of Jesus' day, even relatively obscure figures were written about in great detail during their lifetimes, and their admirers hungered for detail. Yet Paul displays no interest at all in such detail, and across all the sources we know far less about Jesus his contemporaries than we know about dozens of minor Temple officials or Roman authorities. This, even though the later-written Gospels assert that a massive group of 500+ zombies came out of their graves at the time of Jesus' death. We find NO other source describing this rise of the zombies, nor about the death of the man whose death brought the zombies to life. This leads to one of two conclusions: at best, the Gospel stories are midrash and allegory rather than history, otherwise the Christ about whom Paul preached had nothing to do with the later stories about Judean rabbi who lived and died in obscurity.
10:38 re “a massive group of 500+ zombies came out of their graves at the time of Jesus' death.” What’s your reference for this? I don’t believe such an incident is ever mentioned in the NT.
ReplyDelete